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Financial forecasts for 2025 by Adyen are reduced due to the impact of import tariffs

Adyen reports subpar H1 results, with trade taxes and a declining dollar contributing to the shortfall, prompting them to revise their forecasts downward.

Financial company Adyen slashes forecasted earnings for 2025 due to the impact of tariffs
Financial company Adyen slashes forecasted earnings for 2025 due to the impact of tariffs

Financial forecasts for 2025 by Adyen are reduced due to the impact of import tariffs

Adyen Lowers Full-Year 2025 Projections Due to External Factors

Adyen, a leading European payments processor, has announced a revision of its full-year 2025 projections, following lower-than-expected first-half results. The company's net revenue for H1 2025 was €1.09 billion, up 20% year-over-year but below the estimated €1.11 billion [1][3].

The revision is attributed to negative impacts from US tariffs and a weak US dollar, which have contributed to the lower-than-expected results. Adyen's processed volume for H1 2025 also missed estimates, with €649 billion versus an estimated €662.19 billion [1]. The company has indicated that an acceleration in market volume growth is now unlikely for the full year [1].

Despite these challenges, Adyen achieved a strong EBITDA margin of 50% in H1 2025, slightly above the forecast [1]. However, the tariff and currency issues have forced the company to reduce its revenue growth expectations for FY 2025, no longer expecting a slight acceleration in net revenue for the full year [1][3].

The announcement of Adyen's H1 2025 results and reduced projections for FY 2025 has caused shares to tumble. However, Adyen remains committed to its long-term financial objectives despite the short-term challenges [1].

For those interested in staying updated on cross-border payments, Adyen offers a free account that provides access to an industry-leading newsletter and extensive research and analysis on the subject [4]. This resource is not an advertisement but rather a tool for research and analysis purposes [2].

In summary:

  • FY 2025 projections have been revised downward reflecting tariff costs and currency weakness.
  • First half net revenue hit €1.09 billion, slightly missing estimates [1][3].
  • Market volume growth slowdown is expected through the year [1].
  • EBITDA margin remains strong at 50% [1].
  • Adyen remains committed to its long-term financial objectives despite the short-term challenges [1].

[1] Adyen (2025). Adyen H1 2025 Results and FY 2025 Projections. [Online]. Available: https://www.adyen.com/uk/investors/financial-reports/h1-2025/

[2] Adyen (2025). Adyen's Cross-Border Payments Account. [Online]. Available: https://www.adyen.com/uk/business/cross-border-payments

[3] Reuters (2025). Adyen lowers full-year 2025 projections on weaker dollar, US tariffs. [Online]. Available: https://www.reuters.com/technology/adyen-lowers-full-year-2025-projections-weaker-dollar-us-tariffs-2025-08-05/

[4] Adyen (2025). Adyen's Cross-Border Payments Newsletter. [Online]. Available: https://www.adyen.com/uk/business/cross-border-payments-newsletter

Business challenges, such as US tariffs and a weak US dollar, have led Adyen, a key player in the finance sector, to revise its full-year 2025 projections. The company's profit expectations for the entire year have been reduced due to these external factors.

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