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Following a Over 40% Dip in 2024, Is It Possible for CVS Health's Stock to Recover in 2025?

Following a decrease of over 40% in 2024, Can CVS Health's Stock Recover its Position in 2025?
Following a decrease of over 40% in 2024, Can CVS Health's Stock Recover its Position in 2025?

Following a Over 40% Dip in 2024, Is It Possible for CVS Health's Stock to Recover in 2025?

CVS Health's (CVS 0.03%) stock has had a rough ride for several years, culminating in a 43% plunge in 2024. Investors might have been lured in by the attractively low valuation or the high-yielding dividend, only to be disappointed later. Despite its broad diversification, CVS hasn't provided much safety for investors, with the stock losing more than half its value over the past three years.

The company has recently shaken up its management, replacing Karen Lynch with David Joyner in October 2024. Lynch took over after Larry Melo's retirement in 2021. Navigating the past three years hasn't been easy for CVS, with rising medical expenses, the COVID pandemic, and staffing issues all weighing on its operations. The company hasn't found stability, regularly missing expectations and lowering its guidance. This uncertainty leaves investors and analysts wary of the company's valuation.

But could 2025 be a transformative year for CVS? Under a new CEO, significant changes could be on the horizon. The biggest question mark is whether the company will stay as it is, with health insurance, pharmacy benefits management, and pharmacy retail all under one umbrella. Last year, there were rumors of a potential split-up, which could be tricky given the intertwined nature of their operations.

While spinoffs can sometimes allow businesses to focus on their core strengths, they could also undo synergies and lead to greater inefficiencies. But given CVS' struggles, it's unlikely the company will stand pat. Despite generating around $369 billion in revenue in the past year, with only $5 billion going towards its bottom line, CVS needs a way to drastically improve its profit margin.

Is CVS Health a risky stock to own right now? With so many options on the table, it's difficult for investors to make an informed decision. It might be wise to wait a couple of quarters and assess the new CEO's strategy before investing. The company's recent performance, particularly in the Health Services segment after the fourth quarter of 2024, gives investors a glimmer of hope. But until we see substantial changes, it's best to err on the side of caution.

[References]1. Barron's2. Yahoo Finance3. CVS Health Investor Relations4. Bloomberg5. Business Insider

CVS Health's financial struggles have led some investors to question its valuation, with the stock having lost over half its value in the past three years. Despite generating significant revenue, the company's bottom line has been affected, leaving a need for drastic improvements in profit margin.

Investors and analysts are closely watching CVS's new CEO, David Joyner, to see if he can bring about transformative changes in 2025. There have been rumors of a potential split-up of the company's operations, which could allow it to focus on its core strengths but also risk undoing synergies.

The health sector has been challenging for many companies, with rising medical expenses, the COVID pandemic, and staffing issues adding to the complexity. Despite these challenges, some investors remain hopeful about CVS's potential, particularly in light of its recent performance in the Health Services segment.

Investors might want to exercise caution when considering CVS as a potential investment, waiting to see substantial changes before making a decision. Given the company's past performance and the complexities of the health sector, a strategic approach is advised.

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