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Meta's Share Price Predicted to Reach $200

Meta's share prices have mostly held steady compared to their January levels, in contrast to the NASDAQ index, which has seen a roughly 10% decrease this year.

Meta's Share Price Predicted to Reach $200

Feeling the Burn: Owning Meta Platforms Stock and Watching it Crumble

Ever felt the sting of losing half, or even more than half, of your investment in Meta Platforms stock? It's a harsh reality that's hit many investors before, and it might happen again. Despite Meta's relatively stable start to the year, its share prices still lag behind the NASDAQ index, which has plummeted by about 10%.

Recent pressure on Meta's stock has built up due to President Trump's comments hinting at a potential recession, creating uncertainty among investors. To make matters worse, China has entered the fray with the introduction of Manus, a new AI assistant. This new competition could send Meta's stock plummeting to unprecedented lows, potentially dropping from its current $600 per share down to an alarming $200.

The Rollercoaster Ride: Investing in Meta Platforms Through a Downturn

But let's take a step back and remember the past. Meta's stock has seen some wild swings before, with drops as steep as 70% in a matter of quarters, just a few years ago. So, could we be looking at a repeat of those harsh market conditions? While no one can predict the future, investors should be wary of the potential risks.

Looking for a Less Volatile Ride? Introducing the High-Quality Portfolio

If the thought of one stock's turbulent ups and downs keeps you up at night, consider diversifying your portfolio with the High-Quality Portfolio. This investment strategy has outperformed the S&P 500 since its inception, providing investors with returns that exceeded 91%.

Forecasts and Analyses: An Insight into Various Companies and Industries

A Storm Brewing? Why Investors Need to Be Concerned

Now, Meta is making significant investments in AI, with infrastructure costs projected to reach a staggering $60-65 billion by 2025. Add to that the increased competition brought on by Manus, and the potential for Meta's already high AI infrastructure costs to skyrocket due to President Trump's trade policies. All of these factors could put a strain on Meta's revenue streams, particularly its advertising-driven businesses.

A Peak into the Future: Are We Heading for Another Downturn?

While some economists are hopeful for a gentle landing of the U.S. economy, the risks remain. Our dashboard, How Low Can Stocks Go During A Market Crash, provides a glimpse into how key stocks like Meta fared during the last six market crashes.

A Recap of the Past: The Nor’easter of Investing

For example, during the Inflation Shock in 2022, Meta's stock plummeted by 73.7%, while the S&P 500 declined by a less severe 25.4%. But after hitting rock bottom, Meta's stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 2023 and continued to climb, reaching new highs by 2025.

Meta's Performance Evaluated Against Trefis Diversified Portfolio

Why Meta Has Stormy Waters Ahead

However, Meta's stock remains overvalued, trading at almost 25x trailing earnings compared to its average price-to-earnings ratio of 21x over the last three years. With economic uncertainties looming, the question is, should you hang on to your Meta stock, or brace yourself for the potential drop if it starts plummeting to $400, $300, or even lower levels? Remember, hanging on to a declining stock can be a tough pill to swallow.

Ride the Storm with Empirical Asset Management

Luckily, Trefis collaborates with Empirical Asset Management, a wealth manager in the Boston area whose asset allocation strategies yielded positive returns during the 2008-09 period when the S&P 500 lost over 40%. By integrating the Trefis HQ Portfolio into their asset allocation framework, Empirical provides clients with better returns and less risk compared to the benchmark index, ensuring a smoother ride, as demonstrated by the HQ Portfolio's performance metrics.

Your Move: Invest with Trefis

So, buckle up and prepare for the possible storm ahead. Remember, it's always wise to weather the storm with a smart investment strategy. Join Trefis today and ride the waves of the market with confidence.

  1. The stock of Meta Platforms, which currently trades at $600 per share, might plummet to an alarming $200 by 2025, according to some estimates, due to potential financial challenges such as increased competition, high infrastructure costs, and President Trump's trade policies that could strain Meta's revenue streams.
  2. Despite the fact that Meta Platforms' stock has a history of significant drops, such as a 70% decline in a few quarters a few years ago, investors should still be aware of the potential risks associated with holding Meta Platforms stock, especially with its current high valuation of trading at almost 25x trailing earnings compared to its average price-to-earnings ratio of 21x over the last three years.
  3. To avoid the rollercoaster ride of investing in a single stock like Meta Platforms, it's worth considering diversifying your portfolio with a High-Quality Portfolio, which has outperformed the S&P 500 since its inception, providing investors with returns that exceeded 91% and offering a less volatile investment option.

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