U.S. Government Shutdown Looms as Economy Falters
The U.S. government is on the brink of a government shutdown, which could occur at a sensitive time for the economy. Despite this, stocks closed slightly higher on Tuesday. The potential government shutdown comes as the economy faces a hiring slowdown and persistent inflation.
A government shutdown could complicate matters for the Federal Reserve, as some key economic data, such as the monthly jobs report, may not be released. This could make the Fed's task more challenging. Each week of a potential government shutdown could reduce annualized real GDP growth in the quarter by about 0.1%.
The current government shutdown began at midnight on October 1, 2025, following the Senate's failure to pass a continuing resolution for funding. The duration of the government shutdown is uncertain, as it depends on political negotiations. While lawmakers typically resolve government shutdowns quickly, with an average length of 8 days since 1977, the most recent government shutdown in 2018 lasted 35 days, which was far longer than average. Given the economy's wobbly state, the impact of a government shutdown could be more significant this time.
The U.S. government is heading towards a potential government shutdown, which could arrive at a delicate moment for the economy. Despite this, stocks closed slightly higher on Tuesday. The potential impact on the economy and the Fed's task is a concern, with each week of a government shutdown potentially reducing GDP growth. The duration of the government shutdown remains uncertain, with the possibility of a longer government shutdown this time given the economy's state.
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